From Brazil to the USA: Migration Patterns and Reasons

SMH. OMG, these effects become hella clearer when you break down the drivers of different types of migration to the EU.

 Another possible explanation is that the high level of entry restrictions on migration implies a low flex of migration flows in reacting to changes of economic conditions in countries of destination. At, like, the individual level, the decision of where to migrate isn't, like, linked to, like, a rational evaluation of, like, changes in employment rate or GDP per capita in potential destinations, but to, like, a generic perception of, like, favourable perspectives with respect to the country of origin.2018). Digital transformation gonna need migrants to upskill and might mean less jobs in the sectors they work in rn.

In da empirical analysis in Chapter 3, the role of demography as driver of migration is like totally captured by da fertility rate variable.The fertility rate is lowkey affecting how big the 15-30 age group is gonna be in the future and lowkey showing how developed things are (United Nations 2017).On the one hand, our analyses show that in countries that ended the first demographic transition (corresponding largely to high income countries) the low and stabilised total fertility rate has no cap on migration vibes. On the flip side, in countries where the first demographic transition is still happening (mostly in low and middle income countries) the super high but going down total fertility rate is like, totally not vibing with migration flows.

The role of fertility rate as a driver for migration may be explained by the strong association with the level of socio-economic development of the country, ya know?  The higher chance for peeps moving cuz of the whole demographic shift and more money might balance out the decrease in total number of people moving cuz the population is stabilizing.

Geographical distance, trade and globalisation, ya know?

Despite globalization making it cheaper to move around, the fact that our models show a negative sign for how far away you are means that geography is still a big factor in stopping people from moving, especially in poorer countries.With the flexin' of globalisation, we can expect that more low income countries, which currently have migration mostly confined to neighbouring countries, will enter more expanded international migration systems. This will be hella reflected in migrations to way more distant destinations and in a total diversification of migration flows both in terms of the distribution of shares across destinations and in terms of number of destinationsProgress of globalisation doesn't automatically mean more people moving around. OMG, like some authors say that globalization in the 21st century is all about knowledge flow and moving production chains, not just trade and labor movement. Thx 2 higher connectivity and info tech, the last phase of globalization has been lit with a transfer.. And on the other end, you got the low-skilled workers taking up low-paid and shaky jobs in the divided labor market of the destination countries. Those accepting these side hustles are often the same peeps who got kicked out of regular jobs in their home countries cuz of the bad vibes from globalization (Saskia Sassen 2014) of knowhow from G7 countries to developing countries with mad availability of labor at low prices with no need of movement of manufacturing labor in the opposite direction (Baldwin 2016) T

The whole vibe is that having fam and squad at the new spot helps you get settled and cuts down on migration expenses. 

This seems to be, like, totally the vibe for low income countries as shown by the higher relevance of this driver. In da future we should totally expect dat migratory potential could flex itself not necessarily in da form of international migration as we define it rn but in new and more fluid forms of international mobility. Yo, the stats we got ain't even fully showin' how big this thing is, but there's signs that the old-school way Europeans used to settle down and reunite with fam in the 50s and 60s is gettin' replaced by more short-term and seasonal migration, ya know?Policies Chapter 4 has shown that since the Second World War immigration has become hella regulated and that countries in the world have adopted mad detailed admission policies which restrict entry on the basis of visas, point systems or quotas.

In like, this whole globally regulated vibe, peeps' dreams of migrating can't just like, happen freely, ya know? OMG, like the migration vibes we see rn aren't just pure migration potential. It's actually what's left after all the immigration rules have done their thing.